Following the aforementioned executive order, regulations are expected to be developed to turn the targets into actions. In North America, California is the most ambitious in terms of timeline and vehicles affected. France has a target to end the sale of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles using fossil fuels by 2040, and Spain has a draft law that would only allow the sale of zero-emission vehicles from 2040. Scotland wants to end the sale of new ICE cars and vans by 2032, and the United Kingdom is likely to shift its current 2040 target to 2035, and might even move it further ahead to 2030. Other European countries that have pledged to end the sale or registration of new ICE passenger cars in less than 10 years include Denmark, Iceland, Ireland, Slovenia, and Sweden. In addition, the country is committed to realizing zero-emission city logistics by 2025. In the Netherlands, new buses entering service from 2025 onward need to be zero-emission, as do new passenger vehicles sold from 2030 onward. The country is also aiming for 75% of new long-distance coaches and 50% of new trucks sold to be zero-emission by 2030. In less than 5 years, Norway wants all new passenger cars, light commercial vehicles, and urban buses sold to be zero-emission (buses will be allowed to use biogas). Norway and the Netherlands have committed to the most stringent timelines. It is clear from the map and the table that European countries are leading. Only targets mentioned in official policy or strategy documents are shown in the map and table those announced by political representatives but not put in writing are excluded. Our focus is on new sales, registrations, and imports rather than on stock targets, which apply to all vehicles on the road. The table at the end of this blog summarizes the national, provincial, and state government targets for phasing out ICE vehicles, including additional vehicle segments such as vans, light commercial trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty vehicles these are all targets set anywhere in the world as of early November 2020. On the passenger car side, the 17 governments that have set ICE vehicle phase-out targets accounted only for about 13% of global new passenger car sales in 2019 (note that we use registration data to indicate sales in some jurisdictions). There are still many blank spots on the global map. National, provincial, and state governments with defined targets to fully phase out sales of new ICE cars. Since most targets focus on passenger cars, we use the map below to compare the target years of different jurisdictions.įigure 1. Some have expanded the scope of their phase-outs to additional vehicle segments including vans, light commercial trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty vehicles, and some are aiming to phase out the use of ICE vehicles for certain uses. With these latest commitments, California is part of a global trend.Īs noted in previous studies (see here and here), a growing number of national, provincial, and state governments have set time frames for phasing out sales of new ICE cars or only allowing new sales to be electric. This followed June 2020 action from the California Air Resources Board, which passed the Advanced Clean Trucks (ACT) Regulation requiring manufacturers to sell zero-emission trucks as an increasing percentage of their annual California sales from 2024 to 2035. An executive order published in late September directs that by 2035, all new passenger cars and light-duty trucks sold in California must be zero-emission. California is the latest jurisdiction in the world to commit to phasing out sales of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles.
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